The EUR/USD formed a five-bar microchannel down following the July bull breakout of the May high.
The recent selloff is probably strong enough to make the market Always In Short; however, a trading range is more likely than a strong reversal down. This means a pullback is likely soon.
The recent reversal down is likely strong enough to get a second leg down after and pullback.
The market may have to get down to the July 12th low and test the bottom of the strong bull breakout. This is common when the market is in a trading range.
Overall, the market will likely get a second leg down. However, the market will probably have to test higher first. This means the market will probably go sideways soon for a few weeks.
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