The EUR/USD had done a good job holding below the moving average for 12 bars which is a sign of strength by the bears.
The selloff has had a lot of overlap during those 12 bars. However, the channel down is tight, which lowers the probability of bulls buying.
The market is in the buy zone of the January 5th and 6th high, where bears began to get trapped selling during the rally up to the February high.
The market is likely in a trading range and will bounce soon. This means traders should expect the bear selloff from the February high to be a possible bear leg in a trading range.
Even if the market reaches the January 6th low before getting a bounce, the odds will still favor more sideways.
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