The EUR/USD is getting near the March 24th low and will likely find support near it.
The channel down is tight, which increases the risk of any reversal being minor.
The selloff from the May 4th high is a breakout on a higher time frame. This means the selloff can go much further than what seems likely.
While the market will probably bounce at the March 24th low, traders must be open to the idea of the selloff reaching the March 15th low and possibly breaking below.
More likely, the market will bounce before the March 15th low.
The bulls need to develop more buying pressure to stop the bear selloff. They will likely need a double bottom with a decent trendline break of the May 4th selloff before they have a credible swing buy.
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