EUR/USD: Traders Should Look For Micro Double Bottom Before Buying

EUR/USD: Traders Should Look For Micro Double Bottom Before Buying

  • Bears are trying once again to break below the January lows on the EUR/USD.
  • Right now, it looks like a possible endless pullback after a strong bull breakout back in early February.
  • While the selloff from February to today is probably a bear leg in a trading range, traders have to question why the channel is so tight. Bears have a 9 bar bear microchannel, which is a sign of strength.
  • Bulls had a chance for a bottom on February 28 and failed to trigger.
  • The market is in a trading range, and the odds favor a test of the February high. Traders have to realize that the odds of a bear breakout and follow-through are very real.
  • Bears need to get a strong breakout here to convince traders that we are going lower and possibly a measured move down from the three-month trading range to test the 2020 lows.
  • Even if bears get a bear breakout, the odds will favor this 3-month trading range being a final flag.  
  • It is possible that the market has to reach bottom of bear channel (around 1.1000) before reversing up.
  • Overall, traders will look for a micro double bottom before looking to buy. That would be a second failed breakout below the January low.


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