The EUR/USD pair overlaps the past eight trading days in a tight trading range.
The bulls want the channel (blue line) to continue; however, the rally is under a lot of selling pressure.
The bulls hope that the breakout from the Jan. 6 low will lead to a measuring gap; however, more likely, the upside will be limited, and the market will break below the Jan. 2 low and continue to go sideways inside the larger December trading range.
The market will probably go sideways to down over the next several weeks and test the higher low major trend reversal target at 1.044 (see chart).
The weekly chart has been in a tight bear channel since the middle of 2021, and the rally from October 2022 is the first major trendline break.
Most major trend reversals have at least a 30% pullback before forming a higher low, which would be a pullback to 1.044 on the daily chart.
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